Clean, Safe & Effective

Comment trouver de la croissance sur le marché des compléments alimentaires ?

L’Odyssée végétale, le blog de Purextract®, aime bien recevoir des invités, surtout lorsqu’il s’agit d’expert dans leur domaine. En Juillet dernier, c’est Philippe Millet, rédacteur en chef de Actifs Magazine, qui nous parlait du marché européen des compléments alimentaires à base de plantes.

Aujourd’hui, nous accueillons, avec un plaisir non dissimulé, le Dr A. Elizabeth Sloan de SLOAN TREND qui analyse avec beaucoup de pertinence et de justesse le marché des produits naturels aux Etats-Unis. Pour faire écho à notre précédent article les consommateurs, qu’ils soient nord-américains ou européens, plébiscitent le « Clean, Safe & Effective ».

Purextract® a depuis longtemps fait sienne cette devise…mais laissons la parole à Liz !

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Nathalie Luzecki-Michaud, Purextract®

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Repositioning Nutraceutical Products for Growth Markets

Older active adults, a fear of all things artificial and more natural so­lutions for minor ailments will drive the marketplace.

By A. Elizabeth Sloan, PhD &
Catherine Adams Hutt, PhD, RD, CFS
Sloan Trends, Inc.

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Cliquez ici pour télécharger l’article en version .pdf

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Pharmavite’s Nature Made sup­plements were new to the top 10 over-the-counter (OTC) products list last year.1 Amazon.com ranks sev­enth among sources from which con­sumers regularly buy dietary supple­ments; Walmart tops the list.2

Dietary supplements are now the third most used remedy for minor ailments for adults and kids, right behind popping an OTC and “waiting it out.”3 Half of con­sumers stock up on immunity boosting supplements prior to cold season, 54% of working women keep them on-the-job.4-5

It’s no longer business as usual. But de­spite the tough year for supplements, new consumer attitudes/practices, health is­sues and a rising fear of all things artificial are creating a bevy of new health-focused nutraceutical opportunities.

marchéMarket Mega Trends

An unprecedented demand for more natural health solutions, a fundamental shift toward food and naturally functional food-based ingredients, as well as de­mand for cleaner, safer and more effective products are the underlying forces set to redefine the nutraceutical market.

1. Natural solutions

Sales of herbs/botanical supplements reached an all-time high of $6.4 billion, up 7.1% in 2014, marking 10 years of con­secutive growth, according to Nutrition Business Journal (NBJ).6 Sales of plant oil supplements hit $312 million, while the $140 million bee prod­uct category grew another 7.9%.6 Anthocyanins joined polyphenols as the most marketable mass market phyto­nutrients followed by flavonoids and res­veratrol, according to Sloan Trends’Trend­Sense model.7

According to the 2013 Gallup Study on Nutrition Knowledge & Consumption, 62% of adults were aware of polyphenols in 2013; 21% were making a strong effort to get more.8

Hydroxytyrosol (heart, reduces arterial plaque formation), French maritime pine bark (circulation, anti-inflammatory,prevents oxidative stress); astaxanthan (heart, lowers blood pressure, prevents oxidative stress) and pterostilbene (heart, lowers blood pressure, prevents oxidative stress) are among the up-and-coming scientifi­cally-supportable phytonutrients.

Herbs/botanicals have been a driving force in the penetration of natural rem­edies into the OTC drug category. Among the top 10 best-selling OTC sleep aids, MidNite PM contains melatonin, laven­der, lemon balm and chamomile; Alteril contains L-tryptophan, melatonin and valerian.9

Homeopathics ranked seventh on NBJ’s list of best-selling supplements in 2014 with sales of $1.2 billion, up 5.1% per NBJ.6

Homeopathic remedies were among the top 10 best-sellers in the kids’ OTC internal analgesic, cough/cold, ear, allergy and sleep sectors. Hyland’s baby oral pain relief products are outpacing the category, which includes Orajel and Anbesol, nearly 2:1.10

Ayurvedic supplement sales grew 5.8%; Chinese herbs delivered $51 million to the bottom line. Turmeric supplement sales are on fire, up 21% in 2014 per NBJ.6

One-third (34%) of adults used a com­plementary alternative medical (CAM) approach in the past year, 37% of those aged 45-64.11

2. Whole Foods Lifestyle

Since 2013, the number of consumers who think they need supplements to meet their nutritional goals has fallen from 59% in 2012 to 51% in 2014, while those who believe they can meet their needs through food alone has increased from 41% to 49%, according to the 2014 Gallup Study of Nutrient Knowledge & Consumption.12

Ten years of ethnographic research from the Hartman Group confirms that core users are cutting back on supplements because they believe the nutrients in food are best and have pervasive doubts about the bioavailability of even the highest quality supplement brands.13

Three in 10 consumers classify their “diet lifestyle” as “whole foods;” 24% “minimally processed.”6

Not surprisingly, whole food supple­ments were one of the fastest growing supplement sectors in 2014, with sales projected by NBJ to grow from $1.7 billion to $2.7 billion by 2017.6

Fruit/vegetable supplement sales topped $117 million in 2014, after three years of double-digit growth.6

With the exception of goji, up 10.4% in 2014, superfood juice supplements appear to have lost their luster (e.g., noni juice sales grew 1.8% and mangosteen 1.5%, per NBJ).6

Green tea supplement sales topped $135 million, green foods $103 million, mushrooms $32 million and hops $15 mil­lion in 2014.6

The naturally functional movement has also moved center stage in the food and beverage business. According to IFIC’s 2013 Functional Foods Survey, 51% of adults prefer to get nutrients/health bene­fits that are naturally-occurring in foods.14

In 2014, 36% of the best-selling new foods/drinks on IRI’s New Product Pace-setters list touted real fruit health benefits, 14% real vegetable.15

Three-quarters of adults believe that some foods have natural components that help manage current health issues (e.g., digestion); 54% think foods can be used to reduce the use of some medicines.16

While fortified foods/beverages led global growth of healthy foods in 2013, up 10%, naturally nutritious food position­ings were a close second (+8%).17

3. Clean, Safe & Effective

In 2014, 43% of supplement users report­ed using clean label supplements, up from 36% in 2012, according to the 2014 Gallup Study of the U.S. Market for Vitamins & Other Dietary Supplements. One-quarter (23%) of users opted for supplements that were labeled natural/naturally-sourced, 19% no artificial colors/flavors, 15% or­ganic, 12% preservative-free, 8% gluten-free, 6% non-dairy/vegetarian/made from whole foods and 5% yeast or soy-free.18

Four in 10 are concerned they don’t ab­sorb enough of the nutrients that supple­ments are  supposed to deliver; 58% want clinical proof of the active ingredient.19 Af­ter value, potency was the most important attribute for supplement purchases; 41% of supplement buyers shopped by intredi­ent.2

When it comes to food, 23% of con­sumers are heavy clean label advocates, according to the 2013 Gallup Survey of Clean Label Foods & Beverages.20

For food, clean label is first and fore­most about avoiding artificial additives. Chemicals are now the #1 consumer food safety issue, up 13 percentage points vs. 2014, according to IFIC’s 2015 Health & Nutrition Survey.21

All-natural, recognizable and no artifi­cial ingredients, followed by no preserva­tives, are the top clean label drivers. Or­ganic, natural, free-from and non-GMO are second tier clean label attributes.20

According to the Organic Trade Asso­ciation, organic food/drink sales topped $35.9 billion in 2014, up 11.3%. Fruits/ vegetables were the largest category fol­lowed by dairy, packaged/prepared foods and beverages.22

According to the Hartman Group’s 2014 Organic & Natural Report, 29% bought more local, 28% organic, 25% natural and 23% non-GMO foods last year; 27% of adults buy organic to avoid GMOs.23

The percentage of shoppers avoid­ing GMOs doubled last year from 22% in 2014 to 40%, according to FMI’s 2015 U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends. GMOs have moved up behind natural and ahead of or­ganic in terms of the food claims sought by consumers.24

For the first time, health was among the top reasons 145 million consumers bought specialty foods in 2014. Organic was the most sought after gourmet food claim, however, retailers predict non-GMO will take its place within three years.25

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Figure 1 : Product Claims Sought By Consumers, 2015

grocery-shopper-trendsSource: FMI 2015 U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends Report

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4. Viable Venues

Sales of supplements through health practitioner offices remain a big opportunity topping $3.1 billion in 2014 sales, up 7.9%; only 18% of sales came through physicians’ offices in 2013, according to NBJ.6

IMS reported that physicians wrote 76 million prescriptions for vitamins/miner­als in 2012, mostly to those on govern­ment-funded or supplement-covered insurance plans.26 Eight in 10 physicians recommend supplements to their patients, 72% of patients given a recommendation comply.26

Physicians were most likely (42%) to recommend vitamin D, one-third calcium/ fish oil, one in five B-vitamins/C and one in 10 iron, antioxidants, fiber, vitamin E/A, probiotics or potassium.12

NBJ estimated the U.S. nutritional cos­metic market at $17.2 billion in 2013.6 More than half (56%) of facial skin care users are interested in products made from natural food ingredients (e.g., ginger or olive), according to Mintel 2014 Facial Skin Care – U.S.28 The natural personal care sector reached $14.3 billion.6

Sales of all-natural pet foods jumped 12% in 2014; pet supplement sales grew 2.4% to $541.3 million. One-quarter of dog owners give their pet a nutraceutical treat, per Packaged Facts 2015 Pet Supple­ments in the U.S. report.29

Globally, Euromonitor projected sports nutrition will be the fastest growing health category through 2018.30 Protein, fish oil, ginseng, combination supplements, pro­biotics, eye health, minerals/calcium and co-enzyme Q10 are projected to be the fastest growing supplement categories.31

Singapore, Hong Kong, Norway, Aus­tralia and South Korea are the highest per capita supplement spenders by house­hold. Globally, energy/tiredness is the top health concern for those aged 18-39, eye health for those aged 40-49 and retaining mental sharpness with age for those aged 50+.31

Energy boosting, food intolerance, general well-being, digestive health and beauty were among the fastest growing new food positionings globally over the past five years, per Euromonitor; general well-being, weight management, diges­tive health, energy boosting and endur­ance the top five best-selling.17

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Demo Memos

The misinformation on the market about longevity and vitality of consumers aged 50+ is appalling. By 2019, Americans 50+ will account for more than half of the U.S. population. While Millennials (73.4 mil­lion) began to outnumber the Boomers in 2014, the Census projected Boomers will number more than 70 million through 2028. And, that’s good for business.32

Two-thirds of the projected growth in dietary supplement use from 2015-2020 will come from those aged 65+ (+12%), according to Packaged Facts 2014 Nutri­tional Supplements in the U.S.33

IRI’s 2015 Aging America report indi­cated that on most days 46% of seniors take a calcium supplement 24% a fiber supplement; 36% use an antacid/digestive product. Seniors are expected to drive dol­lar sales of GI liquids up 6-8% from 2014 to 2016, home healthcare kits 4-6%, vita­mins 2-4%, and internal analgesics/pain products 1-3%.34

These new age seniors are also project­ed to drive dollar sales of nutrition bars up 17-19%; energy drinks 7-9%; sports drinks 3-5%; and refrigerated tea products 3-5%.34 Boomers are also the #1 user of protein drinks for energy.35

With the U.S. lifespan now 81 years for women and 76 for men—and 29 million people now aged 70–87—a large new market focused on concerns of much old­er Americans is taking shape.32 Stroke, mobility, joint, muscle mass/strength/sar­copenia, memory/cognition, Alzheimer’s, diverticulitis, regularity, weight mainte­nance and pain will continue to move into the spotlight.

Low-income households ($35,000 or less) are projected to increase from 45% of U.S. households in 2015 to 51% by 2020, delivering $110 billion incremental CPG income from 2010-2020.36

Better targeting America’s 22.8 million households supported by the U.S. Dept. of Agriculture’s Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, formerly food stamps) with foods and beverages that deliver high nutritional value is a very big idea.37

With males now 43% of primary shop­pers—52% of Dads have young kids at home—and 14 million men living alone, catering to the health, grooming and food preferences of men is another smart idea.24 Weight, followed by cholesterol, hyperten­sion, joint pain, acid reflux, arthritis, vision and prostate issues are men’s top health concerns.16

Willingness to pay more for men’s health products is 24 percentage points above average for specialty supplements/ functional foods.38

Hispanics remain a “must-have” nu­traceutical target. Half (53%) are making an effort to eat healthier, 50% look for an energy boost/enhancement. Hispanics are most likely to buy nutritional products for their children.39

Four in 10 Hispanics (42%) are watch­ing their diet for health; 53% to lose/ maintain weight; 31% cholesterol; 29% blood sugar levels; 20% high blood pres­sure; and 20% diabetes.40

Young Hispanic men represent an enor­mous untapped sports nutrition oppor­tunity; 18% of men aged 18–24 and 12% of those aged 25–49 take a sports supple­ment.39

One-quarter (23%) of the best-selling new foods/beverages in IRI’s 2014 Pace-setters were kid-specific.15 Sales of kid­specific foods/drinks are projected to reach $41 billion by 2018.41

Lastly, from laborers to those who stand on their feet (e.g., waiters, computer desk­jockeys) workers are a virtually untapped supplement demographic.

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Soft Supplement Sales

Dietary supplements reached $36.8 bil­lion in 2014, up 5.1%, and are projected to reach $46.6 billion by 2018.6 Meal supple­ments tied with sports supplements as the fastest growing segments, both at 7%.

From 2012 to 2014, the number of adults who took any supplement fell from 78% to 72%; those taking a vitamin/min­eral supplement from 72% to 64%, per Gallup’s 2014 vitamins and supplements survey.18

Supplement use continues to increase with age; 85% of those aged 65+ used supplements in 2014; those aged 45-64 are the largest single cohort. The greatest de­cline in use was among those 35-49; half of those 18-34 use supplements.18

In 2014, 138.9 million adults took a vi­tamin/mineral supplement; 67% of these took a multivitamin, 40% omega-3/DHA/ EPA, 35% B vitamins (net) or vitamin D, 32% calcium, 28% vitamin C, 15% mag­nesium or iron and 14% vitamin E.18

Use of vitamin D, magnesium, iron, CoQ10 and biotin were at historically high levels. One in five made a strong effort to get more antioxidants.18

Vitamin sales topped $11.7 billion, up 3%; multivitamin sales were flat. “Other vitamins,”jumped 9%, vitamin D 8.8%, vi­tamin A/carotenoids 6.7% and B vitamins 5.2%.6

Magnesium, chromium, selenium, iron and zinc—in descending order—were the mineral“hot spots.”6

Specialty supplements also struggled, although they delivered $6.8 billion in sales in 2014. After five years of near 20% growth, probiotics fell to 14.2%, ani­mal/fish oil to 2.8% and glucosamine to 5.5%.6

Melatonin, turmeric and multi-herb were the big double-digit winners. Heat­stable probiotics, novel prebiotics and digestive enzymes will likely get more at­tention.6

Two-thirds (57%) of adults were aware of probiotics in 2014, 57% amino acids, 47% melatonin, 41% glucosamine/chon­droitin, 37% whey protein, 34% krill oil, 32% lycopene, 31% CoQ10/acidophilus and 30% lutein.18

With recent data confirming a deficiency among nine in 10 Americans, expect the essential nutrient choline to grab the spot­light. Choline’s role is well established for cognition, memory, healthy pregnancy, sports performance and liver health. Cho­line also plays a role in eye health, muscle performance, endurance and unique post­menopausal needs. New research links choline status with increased sperm count; the reduction of preeclampsia during preg­nancy; and reduced anxiety hormone cor­tisol in fetus, infants and children.42

Three herbs have seen steady growth in terms of awareness over the past few years: turmeric with 35% aware in 2014, goji berry 28% and Garcinia cambogia 21%.18

Horehound was the best-selling herbal supplement in mass channels in 2014 fol­lowed by yohimbe, cranberry, black co­hosh, senna, cinnamon, flaxseed/oil, echi­nacea, valerian and saw palmetto.43

Turmeric, followed by grass (wheat and/ or barley), flaxseed/oil, aloe vera, spirulina, blue green algae, milk thistle, elderberry, echinacea, mace and saw palmetto were the top sellers in the natural channel.43

Matcha (heart health, blood sugar and blood pressure regulation) and mush­room species including Maitake (immu­nity, modulate blood sugar and insulin response), King Trumpet (antioxidant L­ergothioneine, cholesterol management, bone health), Cordyceps (energy, respira­tion) and Reishi (immune, heart health) are other up-and-comers.

Digestive products including natural antacids and laxatives are among the OTC crossover opportunities for supplements. Digestive enzyme supplements delivered $251 million in sales in 2014.6

Nearly half (46%) of consumers are afraid of the long-term effects of using di­gestive/antacid OTC products, becoming too reliant on them and possibly develop­ing an immunity.44

In mass channels, digestive OTC sales rose 13.6%, pain relief 10.7%, weight loss meal replacements 13.6% and cough­cold/allergy/sinus 19.9%.1

Tiger Balm, Blue Emu and Australian Dream are among the top 10 best-sellers among external pain relief OTC products, up 20% overall in 2014.45

The allergy category is up 15%; Procter & Gamble’s QlearQuil brand has intro­duced nighttime and liquid relief into the category.4

Zicam is the #5 brand in the nasal spray category with sales up 21% in 2014. Toms of Maine’s toothpaste—with purposeful ingredients derived solely from plants and minerals—grew 20% in 2014.47

Lastly, form continues to play an impor­tant role in supplement selection. Gummy delivery forms contributed $58.8 million in absolute dollar growth for the category in 2014.48

Just about half of supplements are now in pill form, 27% softgei 9.8% gummy, 3.7% chewable, 3.2% liquid, 2.6% effer­vescent and 1.2% vegetable caps.6

Airborne ranked third in the multivita­min category for the year ended 10/2014 in mass channels; Pfizer’s Emergen-C liq­uid sales grew 6.2%.49

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Conditions

The top condition-specific benefits users take supplements for are immunity 60%, energy/mental focus 58%, digestive 53%, cold/flu 46%, lowering cholesterol 42%, healthy skin 43%, improving memory or concentration 43% healthy blood pressure levels 40% and preventing heart disease 38%.18

Seven in 10 moms want kids’ supple­ments for immunity, 42% cognitive de­velopment, 31% energy/strength, 28% di­gestion, 23% vision, 12% mood and 10% ADD/ADHD.8

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Figure 2 : Top Benefits from Nutritional Supplements

benefits-from-nutritional-supplements

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NBJ projected the fastest growing cat­egories in 2015 in the condition-specific supplement sector will be gastrointes­tinal health +14.8%, insomnia +13.2%, liver/detox +12.6%, anti-aging 9%, mood/ depression 7.1% and hair, skin and nails 6.7%.6

In mass channels, Bausch & Lomb Pre­serVision eye health supplements ranked 5th in the multivitamin category with sales up 15.8% in 2014; B& L’s Ocuvite ranked #8.49

According to the American Heart Asso­ciation’s 2015 statistics, 87 million adults have coronary vascular disease, 80 million high blood pressure, 67 million pre-hy­pertension, 100 million cholesterol > 200 mm Hg/dL, 31 million cholesterol > 240 mm Hg/dL, 74 million LDLs > 130, 45 mil­lion with HDLs < 40, and 27 million with high triglycerides.50

In terms of other conditions, 21 mil­lion have been diagnosed with diabetes, 81 million are pre-diabetic and 77 million have metabolic syndrome.50

Packaged Facts reported that 66 million adults are trying to lose weight; 31.7 mil­lion are trying to maintain their weight. Sales of meal supplements reached $4.3 billion in 2014, up 7.9%.51

Seeking symptom relief or more natural partial solutions to serious health issues has proven to be a rewarding supplement strategy. In 2014, 705 million prescriptions were written for high blood pressure, 537 million for mental health, 480 million for pain, 263 million for lipid regulation, 201 million for diabetes, 131 million for thy­roid, 109 million for dermatological issues, 83 million for ADD, 61 million for gastro-intestinal conditions and 44 million for eyes.52

With the prevalence of stroke on the rise among Americans under age 35—and 32% of women and 54% of men having undesirable levels of blood plaque—ex­pect stroke prevention to move center stage.50

Expect non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and liver health to get more attention, especially among the 159 million people who are overweight and the 82 million who are obese.50

America’s 59 million post-menopausal women, who suffer from a variety of issues and are more at risk for heart attack, in­somnia, decreased metabolism and peri­odontal disease, are a grossly overlooked segment.53

Young adults are over diagnosing the prevalence of irritable bowel disease and other gastric conditions. Could it be the new gluten-free? They are the top suf­ferers of upset and nervous stomach, per Mintel.44

During the last year, 1 in 10 adults re­ported age related muscle loss/loss of strength; 30% are concerned about muscle loss with aging.8

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Fortified & Functionnal

Just over half (53%) of adults and more than half of U.S. households (55%) are watching their diet; 66% do so for gen­eral health reasons; 55% to lose weight; 40% to limit fat, sugar, sodium and other negative nutrients; 38% to prevent future medical issues; 37% to maintain weight; 22% to treat a current medical condition; and 10% for a real/perceived food allergy or intolerance.51

One-third of Americans now strongly agree, up 7% from 2014, that they’d rather hear what they should eat vs. what they should not eat; 45% somewhat agree.21

While naturally functional may be get­ting attention, fortified foods remain the backbone of consumers’ nutritional strat­egy and interest has remained strong and stable over time. Eight in 10 consumers say vitamin fortified foods are a conve­nient way of getting their nutrients.12

One-third of consumers look for ex­tra vitamins/minerals when shopping for food, 34% say they’re very important on a label, 49% important.24 Over the past three years, the percentage of Millennials who say they’re very concerned with the nutritional content of their food jumped 14%—from 23% in 2011 to 37% in 2014.54

Consumers say that getting nutrients in the morning is even more important than avoiding negatives, having real food, or using the best quality ingredients.54

Interestingly, those who are making a strong effort to consume nutrients (in­cluding probiotics, fiber, calcium, organic foods), and to limit additives are also mak­ing an effort to eat more fresh foods, sug­gesting that these emerging fresh advo­cates could be receptive to fortification of fresh foods, according to Gallup.12

Seventy percent of adults now associ­ate meat with nutrients, especially protein and iron; 50% link it with energy, and 44% to building physical strength.55

More than half (56%) are making an ef­fort to get more whole grains, 55% fiber, 54% protein, 43% calcium, 27% omega-3, 26% potassium and 19% probiotics.21

More than half are trying to avoid sug­ars in general, 54% added sugars, 53% so­dium/salt, 49% trans fats, 48% HFCS, 47% calories/sat fat, 45% cholesterol, 42% fats/ oils, 37% preservatives and 35% MSG.21

More than one-third (37%) are avoiding aspartame, 33% fructose, 31% saccharin and 25% sucralose.21

Half (54%) of consumers are making an effort to consume more protein. Is­sues surrounding the amount, type and frequency of protein consumption and greater awareness of a wide range of per­formance, muscle and satiety benefits will drive a new generation of high-protein foods/beverages.21

Nine in 10 adults (81%) believe that protein builds muscle; 77% think it aids in exercise recovery; 73% helps you feel full; 6% aids weight loss; and 64% provides energy throughout the day.21

U.S. functional food sales totaled $51 billion in 2014, +7.8% and are projected to reach $62.7 billion by 2018, per NBJ.6 Young adults are the most likely to use functional foods/beverages (64% versus 57% of consumers overall).12

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Figure 3 : Specialized Approaches to Eating Used in Past 12 Months

grocery-shopper-trends-2Source: FMI 2015 U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends Report

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High cholesterol is the new top reason consumers seek out functional foods, ac­cording to Packaged Facts 2015 Func­tional Foods report, followed by weight loss, high blood pressure, digestive health, heart health, energy and immunity.56

One-quarter of U.S. households say that food restrictions, avoidances, intol­erances, or allergies have an influence on what they eat; 10% are very strongly influ­enced, according to Packaged Facts 2014 Ingredients Consumers Avoid report.57

In 2014, 30% of food shoppers—four in 10 Millennials—tried a specialized eating regiment: 9% vegetarian, 7% lactose-free, 6% gluten- or dairy-free, 5% raw/living, 4% juice cleanse/detox, 4% Weight Watch­ers or Atkins and 3% the Mediterranean, Paleo or a vegan diet.24

Interest in the gluten-free trend peaked in 2012.7 In 2014, 46% of those aged 18- 34 described gluten-free as healthy, down from 60% in 2012.58

These “free-from” markets will likely re­main niche. It is worth noting that scanner data, which simply tallies sales of products that carry a claim, does not measure “in­tent to buy” and will continue to deliver unrealistic inflated sales figures that mis­represent these free-from market oppor­tunities as it did with gluten-free.

Dairy-based drinks/alternative drinks are the most active new beverage devel­opment category for 2015, followed by sports/energy drinks and coffee/tea.59

Four in 10 meal preparers (44%) serve meals without meat, poultry or fish one to three times per week; 7% do so four or more times. Eggs are the most popu­lar meat alternative, prepared by 78% of consumers; 61% serve beans, lentils or le­gumes; 28% veggie burgers; 28% quinoa/ other whole grains; 18% seeds/nuts; and 14% tofu or tempeh.55

Seventeen percent of adults are making some effort to follow a partially vegetarian diet; those aged 18-24 are most likely to do so; 2% avoided all animal products in 2014.12

Health is also an important snack selec­tion factor for half (50%) of adults. The av­erage number of in-between meal snacks grew from 1.9 per person per day in 2010 to 2.8 in 2014.60

Nearly half of consumers (50%) look for snacks that have additional health ben­efits beyond nutrition.60 One in five buy snacks for an energy boost or to improve their mood; 17% do so to manage weight.

Gluten-free led the fastest growing snack claims in 2014; followed by hor­mone claims, oil type, other omega claims, natural, protein, soy, omega/ALA, vegan/ vegetarian, whole grain and organic, ac­cording to IRI in 2015; organic snacks grew 11.6% in 2014.60

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Figure 4 : Percentage of Adults Seeking Out Functional Food & Beverages for Top Health & Wellness Concerns, 2015

health-wellness.

Sustainability

The percentage of consumers who say sustainability has a significant impact on their food purchase decisions has fallen from 52% in 2011 to 35% in 2015.21

Two issues have intensified; the first is animal welfare, both in terms of humane treatment and the risk posed to consum­ers via hormones/antibiotics.61

Secondly, in 2015, one-quarter of adults are giving a lot of thought as to how their foods were farmed or produced; 47% a little thought; 20% give a lot of thought to their foods’ environmental sustainability.21

Moreover, consumers are associating terms including farm-raised, grass-fed and free-range with health, more so than claims of vegan, local, sustainable and fair trade.58

Farm/estate branded items, environmen­tal sustainability, natural ingredients/mini­mally processed food and hyper-local sourcing are among the chef’s hot culinary trends for 2015.62 Organic is no longer mentioned in their top 10 culinary trends.

Targeting the growing ranks of active, ex­ercising and sports-minded adults and kids is a very big idea, and it is driving the $33 billion sports nutrition and weight loss sector mainstream. Just more than half of adults are giving the amount of physical activity they get a lot of thought, up from 41% in 2014.24 Ninety-six million adults are exercise walkers; 56 million exercise with equipment, 39 million are aerobic exercis­ers and 36 million work out at a club. 63

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About the Authors: Dr. A. Elizabeth Sloan and Dr. Catherine Adams Hutt are president and chief scientific and regulatory officer, respec­tively, of Sloan Trends, Inc., Escondido, CA, a consulting firm that offers trend interpreta­tion/predictions; identifies emerging high po­tential opportunities; and provides strategic counsel on issues and regulatory claims guid­ance for food/beverage, supplement and phar­maceutical marketers. For more information:
E-mail: lizsloan@sloantrend.com
Website: www.sloantrend.com

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References

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